The Cook Political Report has shifted 11 additional U.S. House races toward Democrats ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The updates reflect broader challenges for Republicans in red states and districts previously won by President Donald Trump.
According to the non-partisan forecaster, the latest adjustments include three traditionally safe GOP seats moving from solid Republican to likely Republican: Florida's 16th Congressional District, Kansas's 2nd Congressional District held by Rep. Derek Schmidt, and Nebraska's 1st Congressional District held by Rep. Mike Flood. Meanwhile, Montana's 1st District shifted from lean Republican into the toss-up category.
Other notable adjustments include five GOP-held or open seats moving from likely Republican to lean Republican, such as Minnesota's 1st District, New York's 21st District, Ohio's 10th and 15th districts, and South Carolina's 1st District. On the Democratic side, Ohio’s 1st District shifted from lean Democrat to likely Democrat for Rep. Greg Landsman, and Florida’s 25th District moved from a toss-up to lean Democrat for Rep. Jared Moskowitz.
Analysts note that Republicans are facing voter frustration over economic conditions and energy prices, alongside low overall approval ratings for President Trump. Democrats currently hold 215 seats in the House and require a net gain of just three seats to secure a majority in the lower chamber.